What is the purpose of the Chinese military? Could the Taiwan question drive the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to prioritize combat readiness? In this paper, the author argues that the modernization of the PLA is fundamentally driven by the imperative to keep the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in power and not to fight a war. By analyzing political, organizational, and other features of China’s military, the author shows how the PLA’s focus on political loyalty to the CCP constrains the Chinese military’s combat readiness. The author demonstrates that China’s anticipated decline will likely intensify the PLA’s focus on upholding CCP rule and further reduce any incentive to risk a large-scale, high-intensity war.
This work was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Program of the RAND National Security Research Division.
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